My Account Log Out

reorder

Justin Herbert

Justin Herbert TD Passes
Player Prop Week 3

Los Angeles Chargers vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Justin Herbert TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-135/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +106 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 3rd-most pass-centric team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 65.5% pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects Justin Herbert to attempt 36.0 passes in this game, on average: the 3rd-most of all quarterbacks.

Justin Herbert's passing precision has been refined this season, with his Completion% jumping from 65.0% to 70.5%.

Justin Herbert has been among the best touchdown passers in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 2.32 per game while checking in at the 100th percentile.

Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 3rd-highest clip in the NFL vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense since the start of last season (73.7%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Chargers are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.

Opposing offenses have played at the 9th-slowest pace in football (adjusted for context) against the Los Angeles Chargers defense since the start of last season, averaging 28.59 seconds per snap.

Opposing QBs have averaged 31.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense since the start of last season: 4th-least in the league.

The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has given up the 9th-least touchdowns through the air in the NFL: 1.42 per game since the start of last season.

The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a measly 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 10th-fastest in the NFL since the start of last season.

More Justin Herbert Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™