Justin Herbert TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 19

My Account Log Out

reorder

Justin Herbert

NFL · Player Props

Justin Herbert

QB · Los Angeles Chargers

TD Passes

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 19, 2022

Updated Jan 19, 2023 4:28 PM UTC

Analysis

Justin Herbert TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-195/+145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -195.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the 3rd-most pass-heavy offense in the league near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 63.2% red zone pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 2nd-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 62.6 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Justin Herbert to attempt 39.9 passes this week, on average: the 3rd-most of all QBs.
Opposing teams have averaged 35.1 pass attempts per game against the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.

Favors Under

The Jacksonville Jaguars cornerbacks rank as the 7th-best CB corps in football this year in covering receivers.
The Jacksonville Jaguars defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a mere 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 10th-quickest in the league since the start of last season.

More Justin Herbert Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow