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Justin Herbert

Justin Herbert TD Passes
Player Prop Week 14

Los Angeles Chargers vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Justin Herbert TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-180/+150).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Chargers are a 3.5-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 3rd-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 67.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 2nd-most pass-oriented team in the league near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 65.9% red zone pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers offense as the 4th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 26.40 seconds per play.
  • The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Miami Dolphins defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks just 2.36 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 3rd-best in football since the start of last season.

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