Justin Herbert TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-200/+160).
Key Factors
Favors Over
THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 65.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the 3rd-most pass-heavy team in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 63.8% red zone pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Chargers to run the 3rd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 68.1 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 62.3 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Favors Under
The Arizona Cardinals pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a mere 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 10th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.