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Justin Herbert

Justin Herbert TD Passes
Player Prop Week 1

Los Angeles Chargers vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Justin Herbert TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+160/-200).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the 10th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 62.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 4th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 61.3% red zone pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Chargers to run the most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 7th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 65.4 plays per game.
  • The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Chargers are a 3.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.

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