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Justin Herbert

Justin Herbert Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Chargers

Justin Herbert Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Chargers to run on 47.9% of their plays: the 4th-highest rate among all teams this week.

The Denver defensive ends grade out as the 2nd-worst collection of DEs in the NFL this year in regard to defending the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects this game to have the 4th-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 126.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Chargers have called the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a measly 50.5 plays per game.

Justin Herbert has been a much smaller part of his offense's rushing attack this season (7.7% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (14.1%).

Justin Herbert has rushed for significantly fewer adjusted yards per game (7.0) this season than he did last season (19.0).

Justin Herbert's 3.33 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this year conveys an impressive decrease in his running prowess over last year's 6.01 mark.

More Justin Herbert Player Props

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