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Justin Herbert

Justin Herbert Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Carolina Panthers vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Justin Herbert Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's spread suggests a running game script for the Chargers, who are favored by 5 points.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Chargers as the 5th-most run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 48.0% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The 9th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Chargers since the start of last season (a monstrous 59.9 per game on average).
  • The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • Since the start of last season, the imposing Carolina Panthers run defense has conceded a mere 4.91 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition's run game: the 31st-best rate in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect this game to see the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • After taking on 14.1% of his team's rush attempts last season, Justin Herbert has had a smaller role in the ground game this season, currently comprising only 4.2%.

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