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Justin Herbert Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-114/-114).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -114.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The predictive model expects Justin Herbert to total 4.5 rush attempts in this game, on average: the 11th-most among all QBs.While Justin Herbert has earned 11.3% of his offense's carries in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a much bigger part of Los Angeles's running game in this week's game at 16.4%.The Buccaneers defense has produced the 8th-worst efficiency against opposing running games this year, giving up 4.79 adjusted yards-per-carry.As it relates to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Tampa Bay's group of DEs has been easily exploitable this year, grading out as the worst in the league. in the league.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.The Chargers have run the 4th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 54.4 plays per game.The weatherman calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and reduced run volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
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