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Justin Herbert

Justin Herbert Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Los Angeles Chargers vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Justin Herbert Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -123.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Justin Herbert's 7.06 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this season illustrates a material improvement in his running skills over last season's 6.01 rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers as the least run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 41.7% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Chargers are expected by the predictive model to call only 62.6 total plays in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.
  • The Chargers have called the fewest plays in football this year, averaging just 55.2 plays per game.
  • Still weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being called for in this game) typically cause better passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced rush volume.
  • In this contest, Justin Herbert is projected by the predictive model to accrue the fewest carries among all quarterbacks with 3.1.

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