Justin Herbert Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

My Account Log Out

reorder

Justin Herbert

NFL · Player Props

Justin Herbert

QB · Los Angeles Chargers

Rushing Yards

Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 22, 2023 11:16 PM UTC

Analysis

Justin Herbert Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Chargers feature a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Kellen Moore, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to lean 1.8% more towards rushing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Los Angeles Chargers are projected by the predictive model to run 66.9 offensive plays in this contest: the 2nd-most among all teams this week.
The model projects Justin Herbert to accrue 4.6 carries in this week's game, on average: the 7th-most out of all quarterbacks.
After taking on 9.7% of his offense's rush attempts last season, Justin Herbert has played a bigger part in the running game this season, currently taking on 16.0%.
Justin Herbert has run for many more yards per game (19.0) this season than he did last season (8.0).

Favors Under

The Chargers are a 5.5-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers to run on 37.4% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
When talking about blocking for ball-carriers (and the importance it has on all run game stats), the offensive line of the Chargers profiles as the 4th-worst in the NFL last year.
Opposing teams have rushed for the 10th-fewest adjusted yards in football (just 95.0 per game) vs. the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year.

More Justin Herbert Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow