Justin Herbert Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

My Account Log Out

reorder

Justin Herbert

NFL · Player Props

Justin Herbert

QB · Los Angeles Chargers

Rushing Yards

Las Vegas Raiders vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Justin Herbert Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+106/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -116 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers offense as the 4th-fastest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 26.43 seconds per snap.
THE BLITZ projects Justin Herbert to be a more integral piece of his team's run game this week (12.9% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (3.7% in games he has played).
The Los Angeles Chargers have risked going for it on 4th down 27.6% of the time since the start of last season (2nd-most in football), which usually means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive metrics across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the least run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 32.0% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Los Angeles Chargers O-line ranks as the 4th-worst in football this year in run blocking.
Justin Herbert has rushed for quite a few less yards per game (11.0) this season than he did last season (18.0).
Justin Herbert's ground efficiency has diminished this season, totaling a mere 4.84 yards-per-carry compared to a 6.03 rate last season.

More Justin Herbert Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow