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Justin Herbert

Justin Herbert Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 10

San Francisco 49ers vs Los Angeles Chargers

Justin Herbert Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-109/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Los Angeles Chargers have called the 2nd-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 64.0 plays per game.

THE BLITZ projects Justin Herbert to be a more integral piece of his offense's run game this week (10.5% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (1.2% in games he has played).

The Los Angeles Chargers have gone for it on 4th down 27.6% of the time since the start of last season (2nd-most in football), which usually means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Chargers are a giant 7.5-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the least run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 32.3% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Chargers to call the 2nd-least total plays among all teams this week with 62.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Los Angeles Chargers O-line grades out as the 7th-worst in football this year at run-game blocking.

Justin Herbert has rushed for a lot fewer yards per game (7.0) this season than he did last season (18.0).

More Justin Herbert Player Props

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