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Justin Herbert

Justin Herbert Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Cleveland Browns vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Justin Herbert Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 224.5 (-125/-105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 135.4 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Browns defense has not been good when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, allowing an average of 5.56 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year: the 5th-most in the NFL.
  • The Browns cornerbacks grade out as the worst group of CBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 9th-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Los Angeles Chargers this year (a mere 56.1 per game on average).
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Cleveland Browns, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in football (just 30.4 per game) this year.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers offensive line profiles as the 7th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all pass game stats across the board.
  • Justin Herbert has passed for significantly fewer adjusted yards per game (202.0) this season than he did last season (248.0).
  • Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 2nd-lowest level in football against the Cleveland Browns defense this year (61.6% Adjusted Completion%).

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