My Account Log Out

reorder

Justin Herbert

Justin Herbert Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 19

Houston Texans vs Los Angeles Chargers

Justin Herbert Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 229.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 232.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 229.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 62.2% rate of passing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 10th-most pass-heavy team in the league has been the Los Angeles Chargers.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to have just 127.7 plays on offense run: the fewest on the slate this week.

The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A rushing game script is indicated by the Chargers being a 3-point favorite this week.

The Chargers have run the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a mere 55.5 plays per game.

Justin Herbert's 218.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season signifies a substantial decrease in his throwing proficiency over last season's 248.0 mark.

This year, the imposing Houston Texans defense has given up a mere 63.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the lowest rate in the NFL.

This year, the imposing Houston Texans defense has yielded the 2nd-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing squads: a feeble 7.1 yards.

More Justin Herbert Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™