My Account Log Out

reorder

Justin Herbert

Justin Herbert Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Los Angeles Chargers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Justin Herbert Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 246.5 (-133/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 227.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 246.5 @ -133.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The weatherman calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and reduced run volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 40.6 pass attempts per game versus the Buccaneers defense this year: most in the NFL.

Opposing quarterbacks have passed for the 4th-most adjusted yards in the league (262.0 per game) versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Chargers have run the 4th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 54.4 plays per game.

Justin Herbert's 201.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year reflects a substantial diminishment in his throwing prowess over last year's 248.0 rate.

With a poor 62.9% Adjusted Completion% (24th percentile) this year, Justin Herbert ranks among the least on-target QBs in football.

This year, the formidable Buccaneers defense has allowed the 10th-least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing squads: a mere 4.7 YAC.

More Justin Herbert Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™