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Justin Herbert

Justin Herbert Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Chargers

Justin Herbert Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 224.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 224.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 224.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Chargers are a 4-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.

Opposing offenses have thrown for the 9th-most adjusted yards in the league (237.0 per game) against the Chiefs defense this year.

This year, the shaky Chiefs defense has allowed the 9th-most yards-after-the-catch in football to the opposing side: a monstrous 5.14 YAC.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Chargers to run the 6th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.3 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The Chargers have called the 4th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 54.3 plays per game.

Justin Herbert has thrown for many fewer adjusted yards per game (199.0) this season than he did last season (248.0).

Justin Herbert rates as one of the worst precision passers in the league this year with a 62.1% Adjusted Completion%, checking in at the 24th percentile.

As it relates to linebackers in defending receivers, Kansas City's LB corps has been very good this year, profiling as the 8th-best in football.

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