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Justin Herbert

Justin Herbert Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Los Angeles Chargers vs Cincinnati Bengals

Justin Herbert Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 246.5 (-135/-101).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 229.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 246.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Cincinnati's collection of safeties has been dreadful this year, projecting as the 2nd-worst in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Chargers to run the 3rd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.6 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The 7th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Los Angeles Chargers this year (a measly 55.0 per game on average).

In regards to pocket protection (and the importance it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Los Angeles Chargers ranks as the 4th-worst in the league this year.

Justin Herbert's 201.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year reflects a noteable diminishment in his throwing skills over last year's 248.0 figure.

This year, the strong Bengals defense has given up the 8th-least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing teams: a meager 4.6 YAC.

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