Justin Herbert Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Justin Herbert

NFL · Player Props

Justin Herbert

QB · Los Angeles Chargers

Passing Yards

Las Vegas Raiders vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Justin Herbert Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 279.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 289.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 279.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 68.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers offense as the 4th-fastest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 26.43 seconds per snap.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Justin Herbert to attempt 41.7 passes this week, on average: the 2nd-most of all QBs.
Justin Herbert has been among the best passers in football this year, averaging an impressive 273.0 yards per game while checking in at the 86th percentile.

Favors Under

Justin Herbert has been among the worst per-play passers in the league this year, averaging a mere 6.49 yards-per-target while grading out in the lowly 18th percentile.

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