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Justin Herbert

Justin Herbert Pass Attempts
Player Prop Week 8

Los Angeles Chargers vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Justin Herbert Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 130.2 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 38.6 pass attempts per game versus the Saints defense this year: 5th-most in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 7.5-point advantage, the Chargers are heavily favored in this week's contest, suggesting much more of an emphasis on running than their standard game plan.
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Chargers to pass on 52.5% of their chances: the 4th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 10th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling just 55.7 plays per game.
  • The predictive model expects Justin Herbert to attempt 32.2 passes in this contest, on balance: the 9th-fewest among all QBs.

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