Justin Herbert Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Justin Herbert

NFL · Player Props

Justin Herbert

QB · Los Angeles Chargers

Pass Attempts

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 3, 2024

Updated Sep 22, 2024 8:07 PM EST

Analysis

Justin Herbert Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 9th-highest number of plays in football have been called by the Los Angeles Chargers since the start of last season (a whopping 59.8 per game on average).
The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (2-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while rush volume may suffer.

Favors Under

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Los Angeles Chargers to pass on 52.9% of their downs: the 3rd-lowest clip among all teams this week.
The predictive model expects the Chargers to run the 8th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.6 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
In this game, Justin Herbert is predicted by the model to have the 3rd-fewest pass attempts among all QBs with 27.8.

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