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Justin Herbert
NFL · Player Props
Justin Herbert
QB · Los Angeles Chargers
Pass Attempts
Los Angeles Chargers vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 12, 2023 Updated Nov 27, 2023 3:46 AM UTC
NFL Props Justin Herbert Pass Attempts

Justin Herbert Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 35.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 36.5 @ -105.

Favors Over
  • The Chargers are a 3-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Chargers to pass on 63.7% of their opportunities: the 4th-greatest clip on the slate this week.
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the 2nd-most plays run on the slate this week at 133.6 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while run volume may fall-off.
  • The leading projections forecast Justin Herbert to throw 40.1 passes in this contest, on average: the 2nd-most among all quarterbacks.
Favors Under
  • The Chargers boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Kellen Moore, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to tilt 2.3% more towards rushing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
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