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Justin Herbert

Justin Herbert Pass Attempts
Player Prop Week 10

San Francisco 49ers vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Justin Herbert Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 38.5 (-143/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 37.5 @ -127 before it was bet up to 38.5 @ -143.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Chargers are a giant 7.5-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 67.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have called the 2nd-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 64.0 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects Justin Herbert to attempt 40.2 passes in this week's game, on average: the 5th-most of all QBs.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have gone for it on 4th down 27.6% of the time since the start of last season (2nd-most in football), which usually means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive stats across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Chargers to call the 2nd-least total plays among all teams this week with 62.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 34.1 pass attempts per game vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 10th-least in the NFL.

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