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Justin Herbert

Justin Herbert Interceptions
Player Prop Week 9

Cleveland Browns vs Los Angeles Chargers

Justin Herbert Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 135.4 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

The Cleveland Browns have intercepted 0.12 balls per game this year, ranking as the 3rd-worst defense in football by this standard

The Browns cornerbacks grade out as the worst group of CBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 9th-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Los Angeles Chargers this year (a mere 56.1 per game on average).

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Cleveland Browns, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in football (just 30.4 per game) this year.

The Los Angeles Chargers offensive line profiles as the 7th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all pass game stats across the board.

In registering a lowly 0.10 interceptions per game this year, Justin Herbert slots in among the top QBs in football (85th percentile).

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