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Justin Herbert Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+128/-167).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -167.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The model projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 5th-most pass-heavy team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 63.3% pass rate.Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) typically mean better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and lower ground volume.This week, Justin Herbert is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have the 4th-fewest pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 36.3. The Broncos defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, enticing opposing QBs to attempt the 3rd-most passes in football (38.9 per game) this year.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Chargers offense to be the 9th-slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 28.81 seconds per snap.Justin Herbert has registered a lowly 0.11 interceptions per game this year, ranking in the 95th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.The Denver Broncos have intercepted 0.96 balls per game this year, grading out as the 6th-best defense in football by this stat.As it relates to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Denver's CB corps has been excellent this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in football.
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