Justin Herbert Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Justin Herbert

NFL · Player Props

Justin Herbert

QB · Los Angeles Chargers

Interceptions

Los Angeles Chargers vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 11, 2024

Updated Nov 18, 2024 1:16 AM EST

Analysis

Justin Herbert Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-107/-121).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -107.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
The Cincinnati Bengals have intercepted 0.44 passes per game this year, ranking as the 6th-worst defense in the NFL by this stat
As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Cincinnati's collection of safeties has been dreadful this year, projecting as the 2nd-worst in the league.

Favors Under

Our trusted projections expect the Chargers to run the 3rd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.6 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
The 7th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Los Angeles Chargers this year (a measly 55.0 per game on average).
In regards to pocket protection (and the importance it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Los Angeles Chargers ranks as the 4th-worst in the league this year.
In throwing a measly 0.06 interceptions per game this year, Justin Herbert places among the leading quarterbacks in the league (92nd percentile).

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