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Justin Herbert

Justin Herbert Interceptions
Player Prop Week 3

Minnesota Vikings vs Los Angeles Chargers

Justin Herbert Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+125/-155).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the 5th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 62.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run out of all the games this week at 135.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Los Angeles Chargers have called the 2nd-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 63.2 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

THE BLITZ projects Justin Herbert to attempt 41.8 passes this week, on average: the 2nd-most of all QBs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Los Angeles Chargers will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Kellen Moore, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 3.8% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).

Justin Herbert has thrown a mere 0.56 interceptions per game since the start of last season, checking in at the 76th percentile among QBs.

The Minnesota Vikings have intercepted 0.86 targets per game since the start of last season, grading out as the 9th-best defense in the NFL by this metric.

The Minnesota Vikings safeties project as the 7th-best safety corps in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.

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