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Justin Herbert

Justin Herbert Completions
Player Prop Week 2

Carolina Panthers vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Justin Herbert Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The 9th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Chargers since the start of last season (a monstrous 59.9 per game on average).
  • The Carolina Panthers safeties grade out as the 3rd-worst group of safeties in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's spread suggests a running game script for the Chargers, who are favored by 5 points.
  • The predictive model expects the Chargers as the 5th-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 52.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The projections expect this game to see the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • Our trusted projections expect Justin Herbert to throw 31.6 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 6th-fewest among all quarterbacks.

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