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Justin Herbert

Justin Herbert Completions
Player Prop Week 12

Los Angeles Chargers vs Baltimore Ravens

Justin Herbert Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-106/-124).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -129 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Still weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being called for in this game) typically cause better passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced rush volume.

The Baltimore Ravens defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, tempting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the most passes in football (41.7 per game) this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Chargers are expected by the predictive model to call only 62.6 total plays in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.

The Chargers have called the fewest plays in football this year, averaging just 55.2 plays per game.

With a weak 62.6% Adjusted Completion% (23rd percentile) this year, Justin Herbert stands among the least accurate passers in the NFL.

The Ravens safeties profile as the 4th-best safety corps in the NFL this year in regard to pass rush.

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