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Justin Herbert

Justin Herbert Completions
Player Prop Week 11

Los Angeles Chargers vs Cincinnati Bengals

Justin Herbert Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-145/+106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Cincinnati's collection of safeties has been dreadful this year, projecting as the 2nd-worst in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Chargers to run the 3rd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.6 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The 7th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Los Angeles Chargers this year (a measly 55.0 per game on average).

In regards to pocket protection (and the importance it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Los Angeles Chargers ranks as the 4th-worst in the league this year.

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