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Justin Herbert

Justin Herbert Completions
Player Prop Week 7

Los Angeles Chargers vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Justin Herbert Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-123/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -123.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 63.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 64.5 plays per game.
  • The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Justin Herbert to attempt 40.4 passes in this contest, on average: the most of all QBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Chargers are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 32.0 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 4th-least in the league.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers O-line profiles as the 9th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all pass game statistics across the board.

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