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Justin Herbert

Justin Herbert Completions
Player Prop Week 17

Los Angeles Chargers vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Justin Herbert Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (+102/-136).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 7th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 63.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 2nd-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 63.1 plays per game.
  • The weather report calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Justin Herbert to attempt 39.1 passes in this week's game, on average: the 4th-most of all QBs.
  • The Los Angeles Rams safeties rank as the 4th-worst group of safeties in the league this year in covering receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Chargers are a 6.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Los Angeles Rams defense has gotten pressure on opposing QBs just 2.37 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 4th-best in the league since the start of last season.
  • The Los Angeles Rams have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 5.9% of their plays since the start of last season, least in the league. Choosing not to position an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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