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Justin Herbert

Justin Herbert Completions
Player Prop Week 12

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Justin Herbert Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 65.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Chargers to run the 3rd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 68.1 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 62.3 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Justin Herbert to attempt 42.9 passes in this game, on average: the most of all QBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Arizona Cardinals pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a mere 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 10th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.

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