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Justin Herbert
NFL · Player Props
Justin Herbert
QB · Los Angeles Chargers
Completions
Los Angeles Chargers vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 11, 2022 Updated Nov 21, 2022 12:26 AM UTC
NFL Props Justin Herbert Completions

Justin Herbert Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-133/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -133.

Favors Over
  • The Chargers are a giant 8.5-point underdog this week, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 67.2% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 136.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 62.6 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects Justin Herbert to attempt 44.1 passes in this contest, on average: the most of all quarterbacks.
Favors Under
  • The Kansas City Chiefs linebackers grade out as the 7th-best LB corps in the league this year in covering receivers.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a mere 2.31 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the fastest in the NFL since the start of last season.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 11.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-least in the NFL. Choosing not to keep an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
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