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Justin Herbert

Justin Herbert Carries
Player Prop Week 7

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Chargers

Justin Herbert Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Chargers to run on 45.1% of their plays: the 7th-greatest clip among all teams this week.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to see just 124.0 total plays run: the lowest number out of all the games this week.

The Chargers have called the 5th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling just 54.4 plays per game.

The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

This week, Justin Herbert is expected by the predictive model to notch the fewest rush attempts among all QBs with 2.8.

Justin Herbert has been much less involved in his team's run game this season (6.6% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (14.1%).

More Justin Herbert Player Props

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