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Justin Herbert

Justin Herbert Carries
Player Prop Week 16

Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Justin Herbert Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-106/-124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -124.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • When it comes to the safeties' role in stopping the run, Denver's collection of safeties has been terrible this year, ranking as the 3rd-worst in the league. in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Chargers to be the 5th-least run-heavy offense in football (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 36.7% run rate.
  • The leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Chargers offense to be the 9th-slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 28.81 seconds per snap.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) typically mean better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and lower ground volume.

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