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Justin Herbert

Justin Herbert Carries
Player Prop Week 9

New York Jets vs Los Angeles Chargers

Justin Herbert Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-103/-133).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -127 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -103.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Chargers offensive strategy to skew 2.4% more towards the run game than it did last season (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Kellen Moore now calling the plays.

This week's line suggests a rushing game script for the Chargers, who are favored by 3 points.

The projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers to call the 4th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.1 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Chargers to run on 40.8% of their chances: the lowest rate among all teams this week.

The Chargers O-line ranks as the 7th-worst in the NFL last year at opening holes for runners.

The New York defensive tackles rank as the 8th-best group of DTs in the NFL this year when it comes to run defense.

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