Justin Herbert Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Justin Herbert

NFL · Player Props

Justin Herbert

QB · Los Angeles Chargers

Carries

Tennessee Titans vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 18, 2023 1:26 AM UTC

Analysis

Justin Herbert Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+135/-180).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Los Angeles Chargers will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Kellen Moore, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.6% more towards rushing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
THE BLITZ projects the Chargers to run the 9th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Chargers have called the 2nd-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 63.2 plays per game.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 9th-least run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 38.3% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Los Angeles Chargers offensive line ranks as the 7th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season at opening holes for rushers.
The Tennessee Titans safeties profile as the 3rd-best collection of safeties in football since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.

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