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Justin Fields

Justin Fields TD Passes
Player Prop Week 3

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Los Angeles Chargers

Justin Fields TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-168/+128).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +148 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +128.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (2-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while rush volume may slide.

Since the start of last season, the shaky Los Angeles Chargers defense has surrendered a massive 1.42 TDs through the air per game to opposing offenses: the 9th-highest rate in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 47.7% of their downs: the lowest frequency on the slate this week.

The leading projections forecast the Steelers to be the 4th-least pass-oriented team in the league near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 48.2% red zone pass rate.

The model projects this game to see the 5th-smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 126.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Steelers have run the 7th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 56.4 plays per game.

Our trusted projections expect Justin Fields to attempt 26.9 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 2nd-fewest out of all quarterbacks.

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