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Justin Fields

Justin Fields TD Passes
Player Prop Week 2

Denver Broncos vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Justin Fields TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-165/+135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +150 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Opposing offenses have played at the 10th-fastest pace in the league (in a neutral context) against the Pittsburgh Steelers defense since the start of last season, averaging 27.54 seconds per snap.

Since the start of last season, the shaky Broncos defense has allowed a massive 72.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 5th-biggest rate in the league.

The Broncos defense has been gouged for the 5th-most passing TDs in football: 1.67 per game since the start of last season.

The Broncos cornerbacks project as the 2nd-worst unit in the NFL since the start of last season in defending receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Steelers are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.

The predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 46.6% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

At the present time, the 2nd-least pass-centric team in the league near the goal line (50.2% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Pittsburgh Steelers.

In this contest, Justin Fields is predicted by the projections to average the fewest pass attempts among all QBs with 27.2.

The Pittsburgh O-line grades out as the 4th-worst in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

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