Justin Fields TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Justin Fields

NFL · Player Props

Justin Fields

QB · Chicago Bears

TD Passes

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Chicago Bears · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 18, 2023 12:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Justin Fields TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-225/+185).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +190 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +185.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Opposing QBs have averaged 34.7 pass attempts per game versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense since the start of last season: 9th-most in the league.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has surrendered the 2nd-most passing TDs in the league: 1.72 per game since the start of last season.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers safeties rank as the 2nd-worst collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears as the least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 48.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears as the least pass-centric team in the league near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 51.1% red zone pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Bears to call the 9th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Chicago Bears have run the least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a mere 53.6 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Justin Fields to attempt 27.4 passes in this week's contest, on average: the least of all quarterbacks.

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