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Justin Fields

Justin Fields TD Passes
Player Prop Week 2

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Justin Fields TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-225/+185).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +190 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +185.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 34.7 pass attempts per game versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense since the start of last season: 9th-most in the league.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has surrendered the 2nd-most passing TDs in the league: 1.72 per game since the start of last season.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers safeties rank as the 2nd-worst collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears as the least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 48.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears as the least pass-centric team in the league near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 51.1% red zone pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Bears to call the 9th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Chicago Bears have run the least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a mere 53.6 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects Justin Fields to attempt 27.4 passes in this week's contest, on average: the least of all quarterbacks.

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