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Justin Fields

Justin Fields Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Las Vegas Raiders vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Justin Fields Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 38.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 36.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 38.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Steelers to be the 2nd-most run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 50.2% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The 10th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Steelers this year (a whopping 59.8 per game on average).

In this week's game, Justin Fields is forecasted by the predictive model to accumulate the 4th-most rush attempts out of all QBs with 8.3.

Justin Fields isn't afraid to take off running, taking on 25.9% of his team's carries this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile when it comes to QBs.

The Raiders defense has produced the 4th-worst efficiency against opposing running games this year, giving up 5.24 adjusted yards-per-carry.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

Justin Fields's 33.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year represents a meaningful diminishment in his running skills over last year's 51.0 mark.

Justin Fields's rushing effectiveness has worsened this season, compiling a measly 3.90 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a 5.62 figure last season.

The Las Vegas Raiders defensive ends profile as the 3rd-best unit in football this year when it comes to run defense.

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