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Justin Fields

Justin Fields Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Justin Fields Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 45.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 49.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Steelers to run on 54.0% of their downs: the greatest clip on the slate this week.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is predicted by the projections to see 131.5 total plays run: the highest number out of all the games this week.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 3rd-most plays in football this year, averaging a staggering 61.2 plays per game.
  • This week, Justin Fields is predicted by the projections to earn the most carries among all QBs with 11.5.
  • The projections expect Justin Fields to be a more important option in his team's ground game in this week's contest (32.6% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (26.7% in games he has played).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Justin Fields's 34.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year indicates a meaningful diminishment in his rushing ability over last year's 51.0 mark.
  • Justin Fields's running effectiveness has diminished this year, averaging just 3.82 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 5.62 rate last year.

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