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Justin Fields

Justin Fields Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Justin Fields Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 44.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 40.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 44.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Pittsburgh Steelers to run on 50.0% of their opportunities: the 2nd-greatest frequency on the slate this week.

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Steelers are forecasted by the projection model to call 65.9 total plays in this contest: the 7th-highest number on the slate this week.

In this week's contest, Justin Fields is forecasted by the model to total the 4th-most carries among all quarterbacks with 8.1.

Justin Fields isn't afraid to call his own number, comprising 24.5% of his offense's rushing play calls this year, placing him in the 92nd percentile among QBs.

Justin Fields has generated 46.0 adjusted rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the biggest marks in football among quarterbacks (98th percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Justin Fields's 3.31 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this year conveys a noteworthy regression in his rushing ability over last year's 5.62 mark.

As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Indianapolis's DT corps has been very good since the start of last season, ranking as the 5th-best in football.

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