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Justin Fields

Justin Fields Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Kansas City Chiefs vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Justin Fields Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 63.5 (-135/-105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears to be the 6th-most run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 46.4% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Justin Fields to accrue 8.8 rush attempts in this week's game, on average: the 3rd-most of all QBs.
  • The Chicago Bears O-line profiles as the 9th-best in the league since the start of last season at opening holes for runners.
  • Justin Fields has averaged 68.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the biggest marks in football among QBs (100th percentile).
  • Justin Fields has been among the top QBs in the NFL at picking up extra ground yardage, averaging an impressive 5.54 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 97th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bears are an enormous 12.5-point underdog in this game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears as the 3rd-slowest paced defense in football (in a neutral context) right now, causing opposing offenses to average 29.10 seconds per play.
  • Justin Fields's running effectiveness has diminished this year, compiling just 4.44 yards-per-carry vs a 7.34 figure last year.
  • Opposing squads have rushed for the 5th-least yards in football (just 105 per game) versus the Kansas City Chiefs defense since the start of last season.

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