Justin Fields Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 18

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Justin Fields

NFL · Player Props

Justin Fields

QB · Chicago Bears

Rushing Yards

Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears · Week 18, 2023

Updated Jan 8, 2024 1:11 AM EST

Analysis

Justin Fields Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 51.5 (-114/-114).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the Chicago Bears to be the 4th-most run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 47.9% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The Chicago Bears have run the 5th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 60.5 plays per game.
In this contest, Justin Fields is forecasted by our trusted projection set to garner the 2nd-most carries among all QBs with 9.8.
Taking on 28.9% of his offense's rush attempts this year (95th percentile among QBs), Justin Fields's mobility makes him a serious threat in Chicago's rushing attack.
As it relates to executing run-blocking assignments (and the significance it has on all run game statistics), the O-line of the Chicago Bears profiles as the 9th-best in the league last year.

Favors Under

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Bears are underdogs in this game, indicating more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their typical approach.
The model projects the Bears to call the 7th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.4 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
Justin Fields's 53.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year marks an impressive reduction in his running skills over last year's 73.0 figure.
Justin Fields's running efficiency has declined this year, totaling just 5.89 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 7.34 figure last year.

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