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Justin Fields

Justin Fields Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Chicago Bears vs Atlanta Falcons

Justin Fields Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 52.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 55.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 52.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Chicago Bears to run on 54.0% of their opportunities: the highest frequency among all teams this week.

The projections expect Justin Fields to earn 10.7 carries in this week's contest, on average: the 2nd-most out of all QBs.

Justin Fields isn't afraid to run the ball himself, taking on 28.7% of his team's rush attempts this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile when it comes to QBs.

The Chicago offensive line grades out as the 9th-best in football last year at blocking for the run game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Bears offense to be the 10th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 28.39 seconds per snap.

Justin Fields has rushed for quite a few less adjusted yards per game (54.0) this season than he did last season (73.0).

Justin Fields's rushing effectiveness has tailed off this season, compiling just 6.01 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 7.34 mark last season.

As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, Atlanta's collection of DTs has been fantastic this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in the league.

More Justin Fields Player Props

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