Justin Fields Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Justin Fields

NFL · Player Props

Justin Fields

QB · Chicago Bears

Rushing Yards

Chicago Bears vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 17, 2023

Updated Jan 1, 2024 12:56 AM EST

Analysis

Justin Fields Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 52.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 55.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 52.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Chicago Bears to run on 54.0% of their opportunities: the highest frequency among all teams this week.
The projections expect Justin Fields to earn 10.7 carries in this week's contest, on average: the 2nd-most out of all QBs.
Justin Fields isn't afraid to run the ball himself, taking on 28.7% of his team's rush attempts this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile when it comes to QBs.
The Chicago offensive line grades out as the 9th-best in football last year at blocking for the run game.

Favors Under

The predictive model expects the Bears offense to be the 10th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 28.39 seconds per snap.
Justin Fields has rushed for quite a few less adjusted yards per game (54.0) this season than he did last season (73.0).
Justin Fields's rushing effectiveness has tailed off this season, compiling just 6.01 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 7.34 mark last season.
As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, Atlanta's collection of DTs has been fantastic this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in the league.

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