Justin Fields Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Justin Fields

NFL · Player Props

Justin Fields

QB · Chicago Bears

Rushing Yards

Chicago Bears vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Justin Fields Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 69.5 (-130/+100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Chicago Bears boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Luke Getsy, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 7.5% more towards rushing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears to be the most run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 56.4% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weather report calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Justin Fields to accumulate 13.7 rush attempts in this contest, on average: the most of all quarterbacks.
THE BLITZ projects Justin Fields to be much more involved in his team's rushing attack this week (37.4% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (18.2% in games he has played).

Favors Under

The Bears are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears offense as the 6th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 29.42 seconds per play.
The Philadelphia Eagles defensive ends rank as the best DE corps in football this year when it comes to stopping the run.

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