Justin Fields Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Justin Fields

NFL · Player Props

Justin Fields

QB · Chicago Bears

Rushing Yards

Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 13, 2022 6:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Justin Fields Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 62.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 59.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 62.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Chicago Bears boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Luke Getsy, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 7.0% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
The Bears are a 3-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears to be the most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 60.3% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Justin Fields to notch 13.0 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average: the most of all QBs.
THE BLITZ projects Justin Fields to be a much bigger part of his team's run game this week (33.6% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (14.8% in games he has played).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 126.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Chicago Bears have called the 8th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 55.9 plays per game.

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