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Justin Fields
NFL · Player Props
Justin Fields
QB · Chicago Bears
Rushing TD
Dallas Cowboys vs Chicago Bears · Week 8, 2022 Updated Oct 30, 2022 7:26 PM UTC
NFL Props Justin Fields Rushing TD

Justin Fields Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+215/-329).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -301 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -329.

Favors Over
  • THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears to be the 2nd-most run-centric team in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 50.2% red zone run rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects Justin Fields to be much more involved in his team's rushing attack near the goal line this week (34.1% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (17.1% in games he has played).
  • The Chicago Bears O-line profiles as the 7th-best in the league this year at blocking for rushers.
  • Justin Fields has run for 0.29 touchdowns per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the biggest marks in the league among QBs (89th percentile).
  • The Dallas Cowboys defensive tackles profile as the 6th-worst group of DTs in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.
Favors Under
  • The Bears are a big 9.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears offense to be the 4th-slowest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 29.62 seconds per snap.
  • Opposing offenses have run for the 2nd-least TDs in the NFL (0.29 per game) vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense this year.
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