Justin Fields Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Justin Fields

NFL · Player Props

Justin Fields

QB · Pittsburgh Steelers

Passing Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 3, 2024

Updated Sep 22, 2024 8:07 PM EST

Analysis

Justin Fields Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 160.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 154.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 160.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (2-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while rush volume may slide.
Since the start of last season, the deficient Chargers defense has allowed a colossal 246.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing quarterbacks: the 5th-worst in the NFL.
Since the start of last season, the porous Los Angeles Chargers defense has given up the 7th-most yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing squads: a staggering 5.64 YAC.

Favors Under

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 47.7% of their downs: the lowest frequency on the slate this week.
The model projects this game to see the 5th-smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 126.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Steelers have run the 7th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 56.4 plays per game.
Our trusted projections expect Justin Fields to attempt 26.9 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 2nd-fewest out of all quarterbacks.
When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the influence it has on all air attack statistics), the O-line of the Pittsburgh Steelers grades out as the 4th-worst in football since the start of last season.

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